Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 2588.190407 2800.546015 3015.640621 3249.519286 3496.345004 3748.789647 4026.188794
2025-02-02 2280.277580 2600.098989 2936.032451 3314.015097 3726.275024 4161.116355 4653.265908
2025-02-09 2044.877482 2426.196906 2837.775042 3312.616928 3842.882922 4414.427174 5074.593852
2025-02-16 1850.110909 2272.288651 2738.767694 3288.470740 3914.498592 4601.321628 5407.786119
2025-02-23 1727.098088 2185.939923 2703.275582 3323.974809 4042.566739 4842.577862 5794.650287
2025-03-02 1600.381939 2084.402440 2640.643431 3319.307554 4116.982731 5016.963677 6101.058189
2025-03-09 1519.446042 2030.287521 2627.376093 3366.660475 4247.050551 5251.788213 6474.601053
2025-03-16 1408.453470 1932.388804 2555.508119 3338.597617 4283.495544 5374.188866 6715.165261
2025-03-23 1358.569521 1906.088406 2566.823972 3407.526695 4432.980102 5627.701104 7108.718551
2025-03-30 1288.149344 1849.585464 2537.355649 3423.551946 4516.367772 5801.468978 7407.631321
2025-04-06 1217.833946 1789.194567 2499.542436 3426.147523 4580.925978 5951.071515 7676.961230
2025-04-13 1107.729032 1671.393996 2384.228424 3327.217504 4516.544250 5941.900620 7753.059094
2025-04-20 1091.662616 1678.340251 2429.179244 3432.144364 4707.543483 6246.545351 8213.710223
2025-04-27 1060.577301 1663.420635 2444.749117 3499.145456 4851.473565 6494.917994 8608.441086
2025-05-04 1004.307097 1611.128833 2408.855114 3497.691490 4907.479973 6634.166488 8869.616663
2025-05-11 942.933006 1548.651312 2356.705695 3472.568571 4931.332297 6732.135629 9079.237198
2025-05-18 908.997811 1523.140082 2352.690902 3509.508122 5034.006214 6928.288623 9410.931309
2025-05-25 862.211850 1476.884762 2318.504681 3504.652404 5081.355253 7054.229463 9655.146493
2025-06-01 837.263695 1461.163143 2325.255112 3553.914069 5198.883627 7269.089480 10011.584112
2025-06-08 787.397211 1406.205025 2275.392896 3524.720926 5211.956864 7350.167115 10199.267426
2025-06-15 773.478624 1404.461074 2299.718028 3596.421640 5358.404669 7602.264094 10604.318783
2025-06-22 742.886510 1375.859673 2284.728490 3613.089050 5431.089996 7759.498051 10889.419377
2025-06-29 709.711415 1341.723231 2260.480546 3615.788559 5484.292312 7891.236922 11142.213069